HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.5%
魁勝 (R=1331)
vs
40.5%
聖冴 (R=1262)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁勝) | 62.7% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -12.7pt |
Positive = 魁勝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁勝 | 聖冴 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1574 (2021-07) | 1355 (2017-05) |
| Career bouts | 661 | 398 |
| Wins | 327 | 204 |
| Losses | 307 | 155 |
| Win rate | 51.5% | 56.7% |
| Current rank | Makushita #45 | Makushita #41 |
| Active period | 2013-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁勝 | vs | 聖冴 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 7 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



