HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
59.0%
阿炎 (R=1444)
vs
41.0%
千代翔馬 (R=1381)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 60.6% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | -0.6pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1525 (2022-11) | 1411 (2025-03) |
| Career bouts | 982 | 1,204 |
| Wins | 508 | 594 |
| Losses | 401 | 587 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (10)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11 | 2 | 66% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-03 | 11 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-11 | 15 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-01 | 8 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-01 | 2 | 69% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 2 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 4 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.