HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
61.8%
阿炎 (R=1637)
vs
38.2%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 60.1% |
| Actual win rate | 63.6% |
| Delta | 3.6pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1842 (2022-01) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,000 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 518 | 601 |
| Losses | 410 | 599 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11 | 2 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-03 | 11 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-11 | 15 | 63% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-01 | 8 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-01 | 2 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 2 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 4 | 61% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 12 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.