HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
62.3%
阿炎 (R=1637)
vs
37.7%
正代 (R=1547)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (26 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 53.2% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -3.2pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 正代 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1842 (2022-01) | 1889 (2020-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,000 | 1,048 |
| Wins | 518 | 532 |
| Losses | 410 | 494 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #13 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (26)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 正代 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03 | 15 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2015-05 | 7 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2015-09 | 5 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-03 | 6 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 14 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2018-09 | 4 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-07 | 3 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-09 | 12 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-01 | 12 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-03 | 13 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-05 | 9 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-07 | 9 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 4 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 7 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 10 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 8 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 8 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 11 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 8 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 9 | 69% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 2 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 12 | 67% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 6 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 13 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 5 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.