HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.4%
阿炎 (R=1444)
vs
41.6%
御嶽海 (R=1385)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (20 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 44.3% |
| Actual win rate | 45.0% |
| Delta | 0.7pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1525 (2022-11) | 1572 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 982 | 1,001 |
| Wins | 508 | 527 |
| Losses | 401 | 451 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 54.0% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-07 | 2015-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (20)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05 | 3 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 1 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-09 | 15 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-07 | 9 | 33% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-09 | 5 | 34% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-11 | 15 | 34% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-01 | 11 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-03 | 2 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-07 | 7 | 37% | ■ | vs | □ |
| 2022-01 | 13 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-03 | 11 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-05 | 12 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-07 | 3 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 12 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 10 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 10 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 7 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 2 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 13 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.