HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
68.3%
阿炎 (R=1637)
vs
31.7%
御嶽海 (R=1501)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (20 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 48.5% |
| Actual win rate | 45.0% |
| Delta | -3.5pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1842 (2022-01) | 1906 (2022-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,000 | 1,019 |
| Wins | 518 | 533 |
| Losses | 410 | 464 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 53.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Juryo #9 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (20)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 御嶽海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05 | 3 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 1 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-09 | 15 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-07 | 9 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2019-09 | 5 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2019-11 | 15 | 38% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-01 | 11 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-03 | 2 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-07 | 7 | 40% | ■ | vs | □ |
| 2022-01 | 13 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-03 | 11 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-05 | 12 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-07 | 3 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 12 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 10 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 10 | 71% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 7 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 2 | 67% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 13 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.