HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.1%
阿炎 (R=1637)
vs
54.9%
王鵬 (R=1671)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 58.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -8.6pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1842 (2022-01) | 1830 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,007 | 639 |
| Wins | 520 | 337 |
| Losses | 415 | 297 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 53.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 | 2018-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 4 | 82% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-09 | 2 | 75% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 11 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 9 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 7 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 1 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 5 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 6 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 12 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 8 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 15 | 40% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.