HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.8%
阿炎 (R=1637)
vs
56.2%
朝紅龍 (R=1681)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 51.6% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -26.6pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1842 (2022-01) | 1681 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,007 | 390 |
| Wins | 520 | 208 |
| Losses | 415 | 169 |
| Win rate | 55.9% | 55.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 | 2021-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 朝紅龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 6 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 2 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.