HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.7%
阿炎 (R=1637)
vs
50.3%
朝白龍 (R=1639)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (阿炎) | 50.3% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 16.3pt |
Positive = 阿炎 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 阿炎 | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1842 (2022-01) | 1683 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,000 | 210 |
| Wins | 518 | 134 |
| Losses | 410 | 76 |
| Win rate | 56.1% | 63.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #12 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 阿炎 | vs | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 5 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.