HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.5%
貴健斗 (R=1275)
vs
49.5%
荒篤山 (R=1272)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (8 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (貴健斗) | 52.1% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -27.1pt |
Positive = 貴健斗 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 貴健斗 | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1334 (2014-07) | 1313 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 627 | 810 |
| Wins | 320 | 401 |
| Losses | 288 | 397 |
| Win rate | 52.8% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #8 | Makushita #5 |
| Active period | 2014-01 〜 2026-05 | 2009-09 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (8)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 貴健斗 | vs | 荒篤山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-11 | 3 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2018-07 | 6 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-09 | 15 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2020-11 | 3 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-11 | 9 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 14 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.