HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.7%
貴健斗 (R=1384)
vs
49.3%
天空海 (R=1379)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (貴健斗) | 55.3% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 4.7pt |
Positive = 貴健斗 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 貴健斗 | 天空海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1546 (2023-03) | 1584 (2021-11) |
| Career bouts | 627 | 864 |
| Wins | 320 | 429 |
| Losses | 288 | 424 |
| Win rate | 52.8% | 50.6% |
| Current rank | Makushita #34 | Makushita #25 |
| Active period | 2014-01 〜 2026-09 | 2010-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 貴健斗 | vs | 天空海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 5 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-05 | 5 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 2 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 1 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 1 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.