HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
27.8%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
72.2%
平戸海 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 40.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 9.7pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1808 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,048 | 677 |
| Wins | 532 | 356 |
| Losses | 494 | 312 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #11 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09 | 14 | 32% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 4 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 2 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 2 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 7 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 11 | 37% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.