HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.2%
正代 (R=1401)
vs
55.8%
王鵬 (R=1442)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 54.2% |
| Actual win rate | 42.9% |
| Delta | -11.3pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2014-05) | 1470 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,033 | 617 |
| Wins | 529 | 326 |
| Losses | 482 | 286 |
| Win rate | 52.8% | 53.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Komusubi |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2018-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 王鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07 | 14 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 11 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 9 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 15 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 8 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 14 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.