HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.3%
正代 (R=1409)
vs
46.7%
狼雅 (R=1386)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 56.4% |
| Actual win rate | 85.7% |
| Delta | 29.3pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2014-05) | 1478 (2019-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,030 | 496 |
| Wins | 528 | 268 |
| Losses | 479 | 214 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 55.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2019-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 狼雅 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 10 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 11 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 14 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 4 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 2 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 6 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 10 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.