HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.9%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
64.1%
獅司 (R=1650)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 50.8% |
| Actual win rate | 60.0% |
| Delta | 9.2pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 獅司 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1664 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,048 | 426 |
| Wins | 532 | 236 |
| Losses | 494 | 185 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #11 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 獅司 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05 | 3 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 7 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 15 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



