HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
35.6%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
64.4%
欧勝馬 (R=1652)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 50.4% |
| Actual win rate | 18.2% |
| Delta | -32.2pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1732 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,048 | 418 |
| Wins | 532 | 212 |
| Losses | 494 | 198 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 欧勝馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05 | 12 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 6 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 15 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 5 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 10 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 14 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 4 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 3 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.