HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
52.0%
正代 (R=1409)
vs
48.0%
金峰山 (R=1395)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (10 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 51.5% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -1.5pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 金峰山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2014-05) | 1528 (2021-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,030 | 392 |
| Wins | 528 | 209 |
| Losses | 479 | 178 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 54.0% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2021-11 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 金峰山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 12 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 13 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 4 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 10 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 3 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 52% | — | vs | — |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.