HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
32.7%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
67.3%
金峰山 (R=1675)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 51.0% |
| Actual win rate | 41.7% |
| Delta | -9.3pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 金峰山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1720 (2025-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,048 | 410 |
| Wins | 532 | 221 |
| Losses | 494 | 185 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 54.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #11 | Maegashira #10 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 金峰山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 12 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-11 | 13 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-01 | 6 | 58% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 4 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 10 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 3 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 5 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 8 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 12 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 4 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.