HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.3%
正代 (R=1401)
vs
44.7%
大青山 (R=1364)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 56.5% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 43.5pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2014-05) | 1430 (2022-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,033 | 285 |
| Wins | 529 | 159 |
| Losses | 482 | 110 |
| Win rate | 52.8% | 59.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #16 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 15 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



