HEAD-TO-HEAD

Head-to-Head Comparison

正代

Left

正代

Maegashira #6Tokitsukaze Stable

Change
大青山

Right

大青山

Maegashira #16Arashio Stable

Change
正代正代
Maegashira #6
55%
win prob (latest)
VS
大青山大青山
Maegashira #16
45%
win prob (latest)

Career Head-to-Head

All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).

1
正代 wins
1 bouts
0

Rating-based Forecast

Expected win rate (latest)

55.3%
正代 (R=1401)
vs
44.7%
大青山 (R=1364)

Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)

Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)

Predicted win rate (正代)56.5%
Actual win rate100.0%
Delta43.5pt

Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.

Career Comparison

Item正代大青山
Peak rating1607 (2014-05)1430 (2022-07)
Career bouts1,033285
Wins529159
Losses482110
Win rate52.8%59.4%
Current rankMaegashira #6Maegashira #16
Active period2014-03 〜 2026-072022-03 〜 2026-07

Rating history (overlay)

Bout details (1)

BashoDayPredicted正代vs大青山
2026-071556%vs

Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.