HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.3%
正代 (R=1613)
vs
46.7%
大青山 (R=1590)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 56.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 43.4pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1600 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,034 | 286 |
| Wins | 529 | 160 |
| Losses | 483 | 110 |
| Win rate | 52.7% | 59.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #11 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2022-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 大青山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 15 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.