HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.5%
正代 (R=1409)
vs
48.5%
朝白龍 (R=1399)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 50.8% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -25.8pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2014-05) | 1478 (2023-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,030 | 192 |
| Wins | 528 | 123 |
| Losses | 479 | 68 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 64.4% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #12 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2023-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 14 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 49% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.