HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.4%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
62.6%
朝白龍 (R=1639)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 48.5% |
| Actual win rate | 20.0% |
| Delta | -28.5pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1683 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 1,048 | 210 |
| Wins | 532 | 134 |
| Losses | 494 | 76 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 63.8% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Maegashira #11 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 14 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 11 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 10 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.