HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.6%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
55.4%
阿武剋 (R=1586)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 44.4% |
| Actual win rate | 25.0% |
| Delta | -19.4pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 阿武剋 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1726 (2024-05) |
| Career bouts | 1,055 | 253 |
| Wins | 533 | 130 |
| Losses | 500 | 110 |
| Win rate | 52.1% | 54.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 阿武剋 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 2 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 6 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 9 | 43% | □ | vs | ■ |
| 2026-11 | 6 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.