HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
24.0%
正代 (R=1547)
vs
76.0%
藤凌駕 (R=1751)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 44.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 55.2pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 藤凌駕 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1889 (2020-09) | 1751 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,048 | 118 |
| Wins | 532 | 77 |
| Losses | 494 | 40 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 66.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #3 | Maegashira #1 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2025-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 藤凌駕 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 8 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.