HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.9%
正代 (R=1409)
vs
58.1%
藤凌駕 (R=1466)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (正代) | 43.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 57.0pt |
Positive = 正代 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 正代 | 藤凌駕 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1607 (2014-05) | 1488 (2025-11) |
| Career bouts | 1,030 | 100 |
| Wins | 528 | 67 |
| Losses | 479 | 32 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 67.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2025-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 正代 | vs | 藤凌駕 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 8 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.