HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.7%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
41.3%
明生 (R=1476)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (12 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 47.0% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 3.0pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 明生 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1768 (2021-07) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 1,095 |
| Wins | 369 | 540 |
| Losses | 336 | 531 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 50.7% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #13 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2011-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (12)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 明生 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 8 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 15 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 12 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 6 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 14 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-01 | 8 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 2 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 11 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 2 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.