HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.5%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
63.5%
阿炎 (R=1637)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 35.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -35.3pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1842 (2022-01) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 1,000 |
| Wins | 369 | 518 |
| Losses | 336 | 410 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Maegashira #13 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11 | 13 | 35% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 11 | 29% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 12 | 30% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 9 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.