HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.5%
湘南乃海 (R=1354)
vs
55.5%
翠富士 (R=1393)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 46.0% |
| Actual win rate | 54.5% |
| Delta | 8.5pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 翠富士 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1395 (2024-07) | 1411 (2023-11) |
| Career bouts | 687 | 710 |
| Wins | 363 | 364 |
| Losses | 323 | 313 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 53.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #8 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2016-09 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 翠富士 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11 | 2 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 9 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 1 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 10 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 10 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 1 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 11 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 11 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 7 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 44% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.