HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
37.8%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
62.2%
出羽ノ龍 (R=1627)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 48.8% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 26.2pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 出羽ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1627 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 320 |
| Wins | 369 | 189 |
| Losses | 336 | 120 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 61.0% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 出羽ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 9 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.