HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.0%
湘南乃海 (R=1606)
vs
49.0%
出羽ノ龍 (R=1599)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 48.1% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 51.9pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 出羽ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1602 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 690 | 305 |
| Wins | 366 | 179 |
| Losses | 324 | 115 |
| Win rate | 53.0% | 60.7% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2020-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 出羽ノ龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07 | 9 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 14 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



