HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
34.7%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
65.3%
獅司 (R=1650)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 46.8% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 19.9pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 獅司 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1664 (2026-07) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 426 |
| Wins | 369 | 236 |
| Losses | 336 | 185 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 獅司 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09 | 8 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-07 | 3 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 10 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 4 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 7 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 11 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.