HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
54.3%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
45.7%
欧勝海 (R=1508)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 49.0% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 17.7pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 欧勝海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1649 (2026-01) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 369 |
| Wins | 369 | 191 |
| Losses | 336 | 137 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 57.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Makushita #42 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2020-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 欧勝海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 5 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 1 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.