HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
53.8%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
46.2%
日翔志 (R=1511)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 80.0% |
| Delta | 28.0pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 日翔志 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1564 (2025-09) |
| Career bouts | 712 | 317 |
| Wins | 372 | 164 |
| Losses | 339 | 131 |
| Win rate | 52.4% | 55.4% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2021-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 日翔志 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 9 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 14 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 13 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 2 | 54% | □ | vs | ■ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.