HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
50.3%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
49.7%
丹治 (R=1536)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 50.3% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -50.3pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 丹治 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1536 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 712 | 204 |
| Wins | 372 | 121 |
| Losses | 339 | 75 |
| Win rate | 52.4% | 61.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 丹治 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 5 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.