HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.2%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
53.8%
風賢央 (R=1565)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 83.3% |
| Delta | 31.4pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 風賢央 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1565 (2026-09) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 277 |
| Wins | 369 | 157 |
| Losses | 336 | 117 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 57.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Juryo #4 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2022-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 風賢央 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 11 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 8 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 9 | 53% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 9 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 7 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-09 | 7 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.