HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
36.2%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
63.8%
朝白龍 (R=1639)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 47.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 53.0pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1683 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 210 |
| Wins | 369 | 134 |
| Losses | 336 | 76 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 63.8% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #17 | Maegashira #12 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2023-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 朝白龍 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 8 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.