HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.3%
湘南乃海 (R=1354)
vs
55.7%
旭海雄 (R=1394)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 42.2% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 24.4pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1395 (2024-07) | 1418 (2024-09) |
| Career bouts | 687 | 149 |
| Wins | 363 | 96 |
| Losses | 323 | 52 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 64.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2024-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 42% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.