HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
43.2%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
56.8%
旭海雄 (R=1587)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (3 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 38.6% |
| Actual win rate | 66.7% |
| Delta | 28.1pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1609 (2026-05) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 167 |
| Wins | 369 | 107 |
| Losses | 336 | 60 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 64.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Maegashira #16 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2024-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (3)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 旭海雄 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 39% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 9 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.