HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.5%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
35.5%
佐田の海 (R=1432)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (11 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 55.0% |
| Actual win rate | 36.4% |
| Delta | -18.6pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1692 (2015-07) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 1,628 |
| Wins | 369 | 791 |
| Losses | 336 | 829 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 48.9% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #11 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2003-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (11)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 佐田の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | 15 | 66% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-03 | 1 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 5 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 3 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 11 | 62% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 6 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 5 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 2 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 15 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 8 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.