HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.1%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
vs
55.9%
玉鷲 (R=1580)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 56.3% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | -6.3pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 玉鷲 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1692 (2023-07) | 1840 (2019-01) |
| Career bouts | 705 | 1,826 |
| Wins | 369 | 901 |
| Losses | 336 | 907 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 50.2% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Maegashira #15 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2004-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 玉鷲 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 9 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 2 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 11 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.