HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.6%
湘南乃海 (R=1354)
vs
54.4%
玉鷲 (R=1385)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (湘南乃海) | 45.1% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 4.9pt |
Positive = 湘南乃海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 湘南乃海 | 玉鷲 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1395 (2024-07) | 1527 (2019-01) |
| Career bouts | 687 | 1,808 |
| Wins | 363 | 888 |
| Losses | 323 | 901 |
| Win rate | 52.9% | 50.0% |
| Current rank | Juryo #6 | Juryo #7 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-07 | 2004-03 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 湘南乃海 | vs | 玉鷲 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 9 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-05 | 2 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 11 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 4 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.