HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
34.3%
魁新丸 (R=1079)
vs
65.7%
井川桜良 (R=1194)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁新丸) | 37.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -37.7pt |
Positive = 魁新丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁新丸 | 井川桜良 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1111 (2022-05) | 1389 (2023-03) |
| Career bouts | 507 | 613 |
| Wins | 238 | 304 |
| Losses | 236 | 269 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 52.9% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #46 | Makushita #41 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2012-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁新丸 | vs | 井川桜良 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11 | 8 | 36% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 15 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.