HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.1%
魁新丸 (R=1079)
vs
55.9%
淡の海 (R=1121)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁新丸) | 52.7% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -52.7pt |
Positive = 魁新丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁新丸 | 淡の海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1111 (2022-05) | 1193 (2018-07) |
| Career bouts | 507 | 334 |
| Wins | 238 | 169 |
| Losses | 236 | 157 |
| Win rate | 50.1% | 51.8% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #30 | Sandanme #31 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2018-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁新丸 | vs | 淡の海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11 | 14 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.