HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.3%
魁新丸 (R=1079)
vs
54.7%
千代雷山 (R=1112)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (魁新丸) | 42.2% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -42.2pt |
Positive = 魁新丸 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 魁新丸 | 千代雷山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1111 (2022-05) | 1212 (2024-09) |
| Career bouts | 525 | 829 |
| Wins | 249 | 413 |
| Losses | 243 | 394 |
| Win rate | 50.5% | 51.3% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #46 | Sandanme #44 |
| Active period | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 | 2006-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 魁新丸 | vs | 千代雷山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01 | 1 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 7 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.