HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
56.3%
佐田ノ輝 (R=1204)
vs
43.7%
栃登 (R=1160)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (佐田ノ輝) | 41.8% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 58.2pt |
Positive = 佐田ノ輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 佐田ノ輝 | 栃登 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1286 (2025-09) | 1373 (2009-03) |
| Career bouts | 501 | 709 |
| Wins | 248 | 357 |
| Losses | 226 | 343 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #59 | Makushita #57 |
| Active period | 2014-05 〜 2026-09 | 2009-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 佐田ノ輝 | vs | 栃登 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-07 | 5 | 25% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 6 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



