HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
58.5%
佐田ノ輝 (R=1204)
vs
41.5%
鳰の湖 (R=1144)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (佐田ノ輝) | 54.4% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -54.4pt |
Positive = 佐田ノ輝 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 佐田ノ輝 | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1286 (2025-09) | 1484 (2011-11) |
| Career bouts | 501 | 1,098 |
| Wins | 248 | 554 |
| Losses | 226 | 534 |
| Win rate | 52.3% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #59 | Makushita #58 |
| Active period | 2014-05 〜 2026-09 | 2002-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 佐田ノ輝 | vs | 鳰の湖 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11 | 15 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.