HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
45.5%
大畑 (R=1249)
vs
54.5%
出羽大海 (R=1281)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (大畑) | 55.5% |
| Actual win rate | 40.0% |
| Delta | -15.5pt |
Positive = 大畑 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 大畑 | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1381 (2014-11) | 1341 (2026-03) |
| Career bouts | 479 | 572 |
| Wins | 241 | 272 |
| Losses | 233 | 230 |
| Win rate | 51.4% | 54.0% |
| Current rank | Makushita #34 | Makushita #34 |
| Active period | 2014-11 〜 2026-09 | 2012-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 大畑 | vs | 出羽大海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09 | 1 | 59% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-07 | 4 | 56% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-03 | 12 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 3 | 55% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 1 | 54% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.