HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
49.9%
翔猿 (R=1550)
vs
50.1%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (16 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翔猿) | 53.0% |
| Actual win rate | 81.3% |
| Delta | 28.3pt |
Positive = 翔猿 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翔猿 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1763 (2023-07) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 903 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 455 | 601 |
| Losses | 437 | 599 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2015-01 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (16)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翔猿 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11 | 12 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-01 | 11 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-03 | 7 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2020-07 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-03 | 10 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-11 | 3 | 51% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-01 | 8 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-03 | 5 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 14 | 68% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-03 | 10 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-05 | 2 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-07 | 8 | 58% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 15 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 2 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 2 | 54% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 7 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.