HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
38.1%
翔猿 (R=1550)
vs
61.9%
阿炎 (R=1637)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (21 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翔猿) | 41.8% |
| Actual win rate | 47.6% |
| Delta | 5.8pt |
Positive = 翔猿 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翔猿 | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1763 (2023-07) | 1842 (2022-01) |
| Career bouts | 903 | 1,000 |
| Wins | 455 | 518 |
| Losses | 437 | 410 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #13 |
| Active period | 2015-01 〜 2026-09 | 2013-05 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (21)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翔猿 | vs | 阿炎 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-01 | 14 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2017-05 | 3 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2017-07 | 1 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2021-11 | 10 | 28% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-01 | 3 | 24% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-01 | 11 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-03 | 13 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 8 | 38% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-07 | 4 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-09 | 9 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-11 | 14 | 43% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-05 | 1 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-07 | 15 | 35% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-09 | 1 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-01 | 8 | 39% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-03 | 2 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-05 | 14 | 45% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 12 | 40% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 2 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 10 | 37% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 3 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



