HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.7%
翔猿 (R=1550)
vs
48.3%
湘南乃海 (R=1538)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (翔猿) | 58.9% |
| Actual win rate | 83.3% |
| Delta | 24.5pt |
Positive = 翔猿 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 翔猿 | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1763 (2023-07) | 1692 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 903 | 705 |
| Wins | 455 | 369 |
| Losses | 437 | 336 |
| Win rate | 51.1% | 52.3% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #14 | Maegashira #17 |
| Active period | 2015-01 〜 2026-09 | 2014-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 翔猿 | vs | 湘南乃海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03 | 12 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 14 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 15 | 63% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-09 | 1 | 57% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2025-11 | 13 | 59% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 4 | 50% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.