HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
44.4%
御嶽海 (R=1540)
vs
55.6%
千代翔馬 (R=1580)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (御嶽海) | 49.3% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -15.9pt |
Positive = 御嶽海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 御嶽海 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1906 (2022-03) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,005 | 1,208 |
| Wins | 528 | 596 |
| Losses | 455 | 590 |
| Win rate | 53.8% | 50.3% |
| Current rank | Juryo #4 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-07 | 2009-07 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 御嶽海 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | 6 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 7 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 3 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.