HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
42.9%
御嶽海 (R=1501)
vs
57.1%
千代翔馬 (R=1551)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (6 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (御嶽海) | 49.3% |
| Actual win rate | 33.3% |
| Delta | -15.9pt |
Positive = 御嶽海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 御嶽海 | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1906 (2022-03) | 1714 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,019 | 1,222 |
| Wins | 533 | 601 |
| Losses | 464 | 599 |
| Win rate | 53.6% | 50.1% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Juryo #1 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 | 2009-07 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (6)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 御嶽海 | vs | 千代翔馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01 | 6 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-11 | 7 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 3 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 14 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-07 | 3 | 52% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.