HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.1%
御嶽海 (R=1540)
vs
58.9%
翔猿 (R=1604)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (17 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (御嶽海) | 52.0% |
| Actual win rate | 29.4% |
| Delta | -22.6pt |
Positive = 御嶽海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 御嶽海 | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1906 (2022-03) | 1763 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 1,005 | 889 |
| Wins | 528 | 451 |
| Losses | 455 | 427 |
| Win rate | 53.8% | 51.4% |
| Current rank | Juryo #4 | Maegashira #14 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-07 | 2015-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (17)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 御嶽海 | vs | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11 | 8 | 71% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-07 | 4 | 73% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 10 | 84% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 4 | 68% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 5 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 13 | 45% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 2 | 44% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 14 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-07 | 6 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 11 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 11 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 14 | 43% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 14 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 12 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 10 | 47% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 53% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.