HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
46.6%
御嶽海 (R=1385)
vs
53.4%
翔猿 (R=1408)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (17 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (御嶽海) | 57.3% |
| Actual win rate | 29.4% |
| Delta | -27.9pt |
Positive = 御嶽海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 御嶽海 | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1572 (2022-03) | 1444 (2025-01) |
| Career bouts | 1,001 | 885 |
| Wins | 527 | 449 |
| Losses | 451 | 424 |
| Win rate | 54.0% | 51.5% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #11 | Maegashira #9 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-07 | 2015-01 〜 2026-07 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (17)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 御嶽海 | vs | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11 | 8 | 74% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2021-07 | 4 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-05 | 10 | 76% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2022-09 | 4 | 71% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2022-11 | 5 | 64% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-01 | 13 | 62% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-03 | 2 | 60% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-05 | 14 | 57% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2023-07 | 6 | 56% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-07 | 11 | 50% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-09 | 11 | 49% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2024-11 | 14 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2025-09 | 14 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-01 | 12 | 46% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-03 | 10 | 46% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-05 | 2 | 48% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 6 | 47% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.