HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
48.2%
御嶽海 (R=1501)
vs
51.8%
炎鵬 (R=1513)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (2 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (御嶽海) | 56.6% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 43.4pt |
Positive = 御嶽海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 御嶽海 | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1906 (2022-03) | 1707 (2017-09) |
| Career bouts | 1,026 | 657 |
| Wins | 535 | 314 |
| Losses | 468 | 260 |
| Win rate | 53.5% | 54.6% |
| Current rank | Juryo #9 | Juryo #10 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 | 2017-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (2)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 御嶽海 | vs | 炎鵬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03 | 1 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.