HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
51.0%
小原 (R=1181)
vs
49.0%
二本柳 (R=1174)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (小原) | 50.7% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 49.3pt |
Positive = 小原 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 小原 | 二本柳 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1199 (2015-05) | 1429 (2020-01) |
| Career bouts | 465 | 266 |
| Wins | 240 | 141 |
| Losses | 201 | 109 |
| Win rate | 54.2% | 56.3% |
| Current rank | Makushita #29 | Makushita #27 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-05 | 2020-01 〜 2026-05 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 小原 | vs | 二本柳 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.



