HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
64.6%
肥後ノ海 (R=1304)
vs
35.4%
天照馬 (R=1197)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (1 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (肥後ノ海) | 64.6% |
| Actual win rate | 0.0% |
| Delta | -64.6pt |
Positive = 肥後ノ海 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 肥後ノ海 | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1420 (2015-05) | 1231 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 482 | 357 |
| Wins | 235 | 180 |
| Losses | 174 | 147 |
| Win rate | 57.6% | 55.0% |
| Current rank | Sandanme #4 | Sandanme #3 |
| Active period | 2015-03 〜 2026-09 | 2018-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (1)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 肥後ノ海 | vs | 天照馬 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 1 | 65% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.