HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.8%
朝玉勢 (R=1257)
vs
58.2%
天道山 (R=1316)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝玉勢) | 45.6% |
| Actual win rate | 50.0% |
| Delta | 4.4pt |
Positive = 朝玉勢 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝玉勢 | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1539 (2016-09) | 1468 (2020-03) |
| Career bouts | 472 | 276 |
| Wins | 244 | 145 |
| Losses | 220 | 115 |
| Win rate | 52.8% | 56.1% |
| Current rank | Makushita #52 | Makushita #53 |
| Active period | 2016-01 〜 2026-09 | 2020-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝玉勢 | vs | 天道山 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 7 | 52% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-11 | 2 | 48% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 1 | 41% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-11 | 5 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.