HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
75.8%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
24.2%
翔猿 (R=1550)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (7 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 69.3% |
| Actual win rate | 71.4% |
| Delta | 2.1pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1763 (2023-07) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 903 |
| Wins | 435 | 455 |
| Losses | 213 | 437 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 51.1% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Juryo #2 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2015-01 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (7)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 翔猿 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05 | 5 | 78% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 12 | 70% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 12 | 65% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 9 | 72% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-03 | 3 | 70% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 68% | ● | vs | ○ |
| 2026-07 | 1 | 61% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.