HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
41.8%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
58.2%
琴櫻 (R=1812)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (4 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 41.1% |
| Actual win rate | 75.0% |
| Delta | 33.9pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1951 (2024-11) |
| Career bouts | 824 | 802 |
| Wins | 438 | 465 |
| Losses | 217 | 312 |
| Win rate | 66.5% | 59.6% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #1 | Ozeki |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2015-11 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (4)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 琴櫻 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05 | 9 | 27% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-09 | 2 | 55% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-03 | 2 | 41% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-11 | 4 | 42% | ● | vs | ○ |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.