HEAD-TO-HEAD
Head-to-Head Comparison
Career Head-to-Head
All career bouts, including juryo and below (broadcast tallies usually count makuuchi only).
Rating-based Forecast
Expected win rate (latest)
55.2%
朝乃山 (R=1753)
vs
44.8%
平戸海 (R=1716)
Glicko-2 expected score (opponent RD taken into account)
Forecast accuracy (5 bouts)
| Predicted win rate (朝乃山) | 70.0% |
| Actual win rate | 100.0% |
| Delta | 30.0pt |
Positive = 朝乃山 wins above rating expectation; negative = below.
Career Comparison
| Item | 朝乃山 | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|
| Peak rating | 1903 (2020-07) | 1808 (2024-07) |
| Career bouts | 817 | 677 |
| Wins | 435 | 356 |
| Losses | 213 | 312 |
| Win rate | 66.7% | 53.2% |
| Current rank | Maegashira #6 | Maegashira #8 |
| Active period | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 | 2016-03 〜 2026-09 |
Rating history (overlay)
Bout details (5)
| Basho | Day | Predicted | 朝乃山 | vs | 平戸海 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05 | 10 | 82% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2023-07 | 3 | 79% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2024-01 | 5 | 78% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-01 | 11 | 60% | ○ | vs | ● |
| 2026-09 | 6 | 51% | ○ | vs | ● |
Predicted = expected score at the start of that tournament (causal). Highlighted rows = upsets vs prediction.